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zb daily
Started:October 7th, 2011 (02:28 PM) by tbondtrader Views / Replies:32,285 / 382
Last Reply:November 30th, 2016 (12:27 PM) Attachments:283

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zb daily

Old October 18th, 2016, 08:06 PM   #361 (permalink)
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where is the next short ?


tbondtrader View Post
where is the next short ? level


possibly 164'24 - 164'28 followed by 165'13 - 165'24 area?



Forgot to mention how tough 164'15 was to break today,



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Last edited by TopGunNote; October 18th, 2016 at 09:31 PM. Reason: Added EOD screenshot
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Old October 19th, 2016, 09:34 AM   #362 (permalink)
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60 min updated

good morning all

after stalling in 16324 area zb went a full point

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Last edited by tbondtrader; October 19th, 2016 at 12:30 PM.
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Old October 20th, 2016, 11:20 AM   #363 (permalink)
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@topgun


possibly 164'24 - 164'28 followed by 165'13 - 165'24 area?


nice job

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Old October 21st, 2016, 05:21 PM   #364 (permalink)
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End of Week on a "No News Friday"

Thanks for your previous post @tbondtrader

The old ZB looked too weak today to complete that second move I suggested earlier,
Missed yesterday's RTH Session high by 1 tick this morning, still shy of that 165'13 - '24 target.

Seemed like they got stuck in that consolidation area between 163'04 and 165'00 that was established back in late May early June just before contract roll-over.

Who knows, maybe next week?

Enjoy your weekend.
TGN

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Old October 25th, 2016, 02:19 PM   #365 (permalink)
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Target mid lower VWap

Futures Edge on FIO
Measured move hit at Upper Mid Vwap ; now below VWAP looking for lower mid

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Old October 25th, 2016, 05:48 PM   #366 (permalink)
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hi all


zb ready to go to 165/66 -00level,,,

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Old October 27th, 2016, 10:24 AM   #367 (permalink)
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RielA View Post
This is what I am seeing with Bonds for the rest of the year..

1) We had that rotation I spoke about to the high of the monthly DVA and a nice rejection of that area. Now it does appear prices are resuming that move lower.

2) For me to stay bearish prices got to hold under Septembers VAH and clear the first obstacle of the VAL/September Lows (Blue Circle). If this can happen the yearly POC is a good target ( the black line on the daily chart with annual DVAH/Profile).

3) I expect to see some buyers hold the market from trading under that level for too long if the bears can take it there. So basically looking at the Yearly DVA we had a move back into the DVA and a bounce and rejection of prices moving back above value. Im now expecting a rotation down to the POC/DVAL of the year.

4) Looking at how the years Profile is being distributed we can two High Vol Areas near the high and low of the VA range. As long as the Fed stays undecided we will probably rotate and trade between those areas.



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We've seen prices reach the Annual VWAP and trade within the Monthly DVA in that area. Expecting some back and forth but it was important that the MDVA Highs held and they did. Now we're seeing a rotation lower out of balance and potentially down that Annual DVAL target zone in the blue..



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Old November 1st, 2016, 08:03 AM   #368 (permalink)
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60 min updated

yesterday was the narrowest range in 15+trading days expect breakout
are we going to close gap or keep going south?

enjoy your day

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Old November 1st, 2016, 03:22 PM   #369 (permalink)
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60 min updated

hi all

thanks alex


updated 60min chart rocksolid was plan to go long at 161-24...


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Old November 2nd, 2016, 10:23 AM   #370 (permalink)
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Complete and utter indecision in this market with a bias towards the downside on the daily (until MA's are broken), but chaos intraday. I'm thinking... Trump wins: Strong selling, Clinton wins: Strong rally.


Last edited by tecburs; November 2nd, 2016 at 12:59 PM. Reason: Clarification
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