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zb daily
Started:October 7th, 2011 (02:28 PM) by tbondtrader Views / Replies:32,491 / 382
Last Reply:November 30th, 2016 (12:27 PM) Attachments:283

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zb daily

Old September 21st, 2016, 01:01 PM   #341 (permalink)
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RielA View Post
I think Treasuries/Bonds have priced in that the FED wont raise rates.

With three month eurodollar spreads trading at 3, I'd say you're right

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Old September 22nd, 2016, 09:10 AM   #342 (permalink)
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No Surprise but markets move anyway

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The Fed did exactly what the market expected, nothing; and that is cause for a 2 point rally.
Looking for a retrace. 50% and Vwap are ~166-2

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Old September 22nd, 2016, 08:35 PM   #343 (permalink)
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60min update for 23rd sept


hi all
my thinking for tomorrow lets see how it plays out more ideas?

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Old September 23rd, 2016, 08:59 AM   #344 (permalink)
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resistance above

Had a good rally after the FOMC did nothing.
That "new" information should be about assimilated.
Retraced 50% of last down move.
Resistance at 168-20 to 169-25
Target back to Vwap ; 50% retrace and former resistance at 166-10 to 17 ; and lower median

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Old September 23rd, 2016, 09:27 AM   #345 (permalink)
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We'll likely finish the week somewhere above Y Low and below LM Low.

Id like to see LM Lows trade as that would pretty much finish the rotation from the Monthly DVAL > DVAH. As another bullish sign it'd be great to see the market close today above LW Highs

1) If we sell off first down to LW Highs/Y Lows, perhaps we'll see a later rally up to LM Lows
2) If prices start climbing early we could see sellers come in and hold the market under LM Lows and a late day sell off.

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Old September 23rd, 2016, 10:39 AM   #346 (permalink)
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Reminder October options expire today. Open interest suggests 131 in tens and 168 in bonds may be magnets

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Old September 26th, 2016, 08:54 AM   #347 (permalink)
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Not much range

Compared to good moves in CL and Indexes; very small move for ZB
Did pin at 168
Resistance at 168-20 to 169-25
Target back tolast week's Vwap ; 50% retrace and former resistance at 166-10 to 17 ; and lower median

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Old September 29th, 2016, 08:49 AM   #348 (permalink)
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Uptrend Broken

Managed to get to W R2 and UVwap.
and back to W Vwap
Possible targets Mid W Vwap 167-26 ; 50% retrace and W PP 167-6
Rates are not going up this week but they probably are not going to fall further

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Old October 3rd, 2016, 10:38 PM   #349 (permalink)
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60min update for 4th oct

hi all
are we staying in channel or breaking thru?....

zb maybe heading to 61.2 sup....



enjoy your day.....

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Last edited by tbondtrader; October 4th, 2016 at 12:00 AM.
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Old October 4th, 2016, 12:00 PM   #350 (permalink)
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looking more like 167'02 will be tested

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