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zb daily
Started:October 7th, 2011 (02:28 PM) by tbondtrader Views / Replies:32,323 / 382
Last Reply:November 30th, 2016 (12:27 PM) Attachments:283

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zb daily

Old July 13th, 2016, 09:29 PM   #291 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker/Data: amp/cqg
Favorite Futures: zb and es
 
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60 min

@Nedster
7.20 am to 8.20 am central time

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Old July 14th, 2016, 11:52 AM   #292 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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update on zb 1 min

hi

happens when you fall asleep or it takes too long to take off


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Old July 14th, 2016, 03:24 PM   #293 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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update on zb 1 min


same stuff this time no sleeping


bye

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Old July 15th, 2016, 09:40 AM   #294 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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done for the day

have a great w/end all


to next entry looking for places to short....



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Old July 24th, 2016, 05:20 PM   #295 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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mondays POSSIBILITIES...

Futures Edge on FIO
Hi all enjoying your w/end... swealtering heat here

post your ideas so we can beat the heat...

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Old July 25th, 2016, 10:17 AM   #296 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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Posts: 365 since Jul 2009
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zb update

hmmm

maybe it will play out ... fomc this wedenesday..zb should be range bound till then



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Old July 25th, 2016, 01:06 PM   #297 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
dallas,tx
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Broker/Data: Infinity/ Sierra Charts
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tbondtrader View Post
Hi all enjoying your w/end... swealtering heat here

post your ideas so we can beat the heat...

Yes, its a little warm in Dallas as well. Took sometime off from trading ZB, focused more on ES.
After seeing your post, popped up the TPO for ZBU6. Had a nice setup, then forgot about the 7:20am open (pop).

Didn't take the trade, here is my chart.
Trade Well,
Joe

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Old July 27th, 2016, 10:06 PM   #298 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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mid week update 60min

hi all

thank you to okina rip

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Old August 3rd, 2016, 04:09 PM   #299 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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mid week update 60min

zb put in an inside day today. indecision till tomrrow morning..leaning towards shorts


enjoy

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Old August 31st, 2016, 03:21 PM   #300 (permalink)
Elite Member
Winnipeg, Canada
 
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I've been doing some quick studies to help myself with determining some probable outcomes for the market day to day. This is the results I've come across when studying the ZB!

Overnight Data
ON High/Low traded during RTH = 95%
ON High&Low traded during RTH = 24%
ON High/Low traded during IB = 66%
ON High&Low traded during IB = 3%

Opening Range
OR High/Low equals IB H/L = 78%
OR High&Low equals IB High&Low = 6%
OR High/Low equals RTH H/L = 51%
*all within 3 ticks excess of H/L*

Initial Balance
IB High/Low equals RTH High or Low = 79%
IB High&Low equals RTH High&Low = 6%

RTH Close INSIDE IB = 28%
RTH Close WITHIN IB +/- 100% = 43%
RTH Close OUTSIDE IB +/- 100% = 30%

RTH High/Low BEYOND IB +/- 50% = 82%
RTH High/Low BEYOND BOTH IB +/- 50% H/L = 12%

RTH High/Low BEYOND IB +/- 100% = 57%
RTH High/Low BEYOND BOTH IB +/- 100% H/L = 3%

RTH High/Low BEYOND IB150% = 33%
RTH High/Low BEYOND BOTH IB +/- 150% H/L = 1%

RTH High/Low BEYOND IB +/- 200% = 22%
RTH High/Low BEYOND BOTH IB +/- 200% H/L = 0%

Value Area (based on previous days')
RTH Open OUTSIDE VA + Close OUTSIDE VA = 82%
RTH Open INSIDE VA + Close INSIDE VA = 30%
RTH Close OUTSIDE VA = 78%

RTH Open ABOVE VA / Close ABOVE VA = 72%
RTH Open ABOVE VA / Close BELOW VA = 12%
RTH Open BELOW VA / Close BELOW VA = 66%
RTH Open BELOW VA / Close ABOVE VA = 20%




Some things I derive from this are:

1) Its very likely the ON H/L gets taken out during the day, and still a 66% chance that happens during the first hour with a smaller chance that both the ON H/L gets traded.
2) A likely chance that the OR is the H/L of the first hours trading.
3) Either the IB High or Low is likely to be the High or Low of the day (RTH).
4) There is a 57% chance prices move beyond the IB +100% levels but only a 30% chance of prices closing there.
5) Prices overall are more likely to close outside the IB as well as the Value Area.

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