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zb daily
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zb daily

  #281 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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60 min update

a bit late in posting.. the updraft should be over....

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  #282 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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tuesdays outlook 60min zb

hi all
this week is a short week financial mkts close early friday 12.00/15 pm

enjoy...

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  #283 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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current situation zb


i am going out on a limb

downdraft in zb shoud be over.

looking to buy the pullbacks .. tgt is 5 ticks

current price 163 17
cuurent range35
5day ave 39

now time will tell

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zb daily-zb-06-16-1-unirenko-t1r4o2-5_24_2016.jpg  

Last edited by tbondtrader; May 24th, 2016 at 10:41 AM. Reason: chart
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  #284 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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last chart for the day.... follow up

hi
have a good day.....

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  #285 (permalink)
Zb Trader
midwest
 
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Posts: 382 since Jul 2009
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outlook for thursday 60 min zb

hi

zb poised to go higher
lwl=163-04


lets fill in possible scenario/s

enjoy...

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  #286 (permalink)
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any signal before large move of ZB last week

did anyone noticed, the days before NFP report of last week, any signal telling whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?
@tbondtrader and @TopGunNote I haven't seen any post on your bond threads, I was just curious to know if (and if so sharing how) you could trade ZB across last week NFP.
Thanks.

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  #287 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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@guidoisot

"whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?"

what does this mean?

with hindsight the market was bound to make move because the current weely range was below ave



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  #288 (permalink)
Elite Member
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tbondtrader View Post
@guidoisot

"whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?"


Hi,
my understanding, (which may very well be wrong), is that if one can (how?) verify or, better, has verified that the whole yield curve is going to a given direction, (letís suppose it is, temporarily, going to raise) there might be some of its components, for ex letís say the 5yr and 30yr actually getting there (raising) relatively faster than other components, say 10yr. If this can be verified (!), for ex by looking at the movements of the 1) overall, 2)front end, 3)back end of the yield curve, then, soon or later, the 10yr should start to catch up and should therefore start to move, relatively, faster than 5yr and 30yr; so unless one believes (5yr and 30yr) vs 10yr will keep diverging one another, this could be a good timing to go, temporarily, long ZN and short (ZF + ZB).

I am a bit confused myself about all this, however, at least for the sake of stimulating discussion and of involving additional opinions or perhaps suggestions (by other experienced traders working with the yield curve), I hope it can make some sense.

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/files/Treasury_ICS__Take_a_Closer_Look_July_2010_FINAL.pdf

regards. guidoisot

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  #289 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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Posts: 382 since Jul 2009
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60min updated 13th july

hi all
those in us enjoy your summer those in southern hemepishere enjoy your winter those who is trading may YOU be WITH the flow....


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zb daily-zb-09-16-60-min-7_13_2016.jpg   zb daily-zb-09-16-60-min-7_13_2016b.jpg  

Last edited by tbondtrader; July 13th, 2016 at 11:58 AM. Reason: chart
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  #290 (permalink)
Elite Member
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How do you have your opening range set up from a time perspective?

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