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zb daily
Started:October 7th, 2011 (02:28 PM) by tbondtrader Views / Replies:32,473 / 382
Last Reply:November 30th, 2016 (12:27 PM) Attachments:283

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zb daily

Old May 19th, 2016, 01:14 PM   #281 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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60 min update

a bit late in posting.. the updraft should be over....

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Old May 24th, 2016, 12:40 AM   #282 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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tuesdays outlook 60min zb

hi all
this week is a short week financial mkts close early friday 12.00/15 pm

enjoy...

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Old May 24th, 2016, 11:30 AM   #283 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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current situation zb


i am going out on a limb

downdraft in zb shoud be over.

looking to buy the pullbacks .. tgt is 5 ticks

current price 163 17
cuurent range35
5day ave 39

now time will tell

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Last edited by tbondtrader; May 24th, 2016 at 11:41 AM. Reason: chart
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Old May 24th, 2016, 03:16 PM   #284 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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last chart for the day.... follow up

hi
have a good day.....

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Old May 25th, 2016, 08:14 PM   #285 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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outlook for thursday 60 min zb

Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 
hi

zb poised to go higher
lwl=163-04


lets fill in possible scenario/s

enjoy...

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Old June 4th, 2016, 05:25 PM   #286 (permalink)
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any signal before large move of ZB last week

did anyone noticed, the days before NFP report of last week, any signal telling whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?
@tbondtrader and @TopGunNote I haven't seen any post on your bond threads, I was just curious to know if (and if so sharing how) you could trade ZB across last week NFP.
Thanks.

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Old June 16th, 2016, 01:42 AM   #287 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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@guidoisot

"whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?"

what does this mean?

with hindsight the market was bound to make move because the current weely range was below ave



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Old June 22nd, 2016, 07:11 AM   #288 (permalink)
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tbondtrader View Post
@guidoisot

"whether ZB was expensive or cheap relative to ZN and UB?"


Hi,
my understanding, (which may very well be wrong), is that if one can (how?) verify or, better, has verified that the whole yield curve is going to a given direction, (letís suppose it is, temporarily, going to raise) there might be some of its components, for ex letís say the 5yr and 30yr actually getting there (raising) relatively faster than other components, say 10yr. If this can be verified (!), for ex by looking at the movements of the 1) overall, 2)front end, 3)back end of the yield curve, then, soon or later, the 10yr should start to catch up and should therefore start to move, relatively, faster than 5yr and 30yr; so unless one believes (5yr and 30yr) vs 10yr will keep diverging one another, this could be a good timing to go, temporarily, long ZN and short (ZF + ZB).

I am a bit confused myself about all this, however, at least for the sake of stimulating discussion and of involving additional opinions or perhaps suggestions (by other experienced traders working with the yield curve), I hope it can make some sense.

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/files/Treasury_ICS__Take_a_Closer_Look_July_2010_FINAL.pdf

regards. guidoisot

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Old July 13th, 2016, 12:27 PM   #289 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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60min updated 13th july

hi all
those in us enjoy your summer those in southern hemepishere enjoy your winter those who is trading may YOU be WITH the flow....


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zb daily-zb-09-16-60-min-7_13_2016.jpg   zb daily-zb-09-16-60-min-7_13_2016b.jpg  

Last edited by tbondtrader; July 13th, 2016 at 12:58 PM. Reason: chart
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Old July 13th, 2016, 01:37 PM   #290 (permalink)
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How do you have your opening range set up from a time perspective?

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