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zb daily
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zb daily

  #201 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
dallas,tx
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: Infinity/ Sierra Charts
Favorite Futures: Bonds
 
Posts: 46 since May 2015
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At the moment, Dec finished out neutral, we started this area, finished same. Everything worked as planned, confusion.
Monday price was acting like no rate hike.
Tuesday drama escalated price to rate hike.
Wed/Thur= dead money
Thursday 2pm, I was on a SIM account, went long felt good. As posted before, didn't believe a rate hike was going to happen.
IMF told Yellen March 2016,
Yellen wasn't at Jackson Hole,
Yellen worried about Europe.
Friday, FED and Treasury are in total stress mode.

What to look forward too, Sept 30th. Raise the debt ceiling or not? WSJ may give the clues needed for trade.

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  #202 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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risk per trade?

@jj

what is your risk per trade

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  #203 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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zb 60


will line hold ? will mkt rally to 157 00
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  #204 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
dallas,tx
 
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tbondtrader View Post
@jj

what is your risk per trade

5-6 ticks

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  #205 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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possible path for the rest of the week

hi......
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  #206 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
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Favorite Futures: Bonds
 
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I did the A-B-C pattern on Sunday for the daily chart.

A= 146-28
B= 161-17
C= 151-25

.618 = 160-13

9/23/15, I'm so pissed, missed a 20-30 tick move.
One of my rules are ECB or FOMC speaking, don't trade.

Draghi was speaking, watched FED push down price. 500+ on offer.
FED was buying at 155= 600 contracts....154-28= 500 contracts....154-25= 500 contracts(FED was bidding up, possible suckers bet)...FED again bidding 154-18 = 500 contracts.


System:
Daily chart showing 3 green bars. Price above 50EMA...10/20EMA about to cross up.
Overnight Hi= 156-8.....Low= 154-31
1st 15min range 155-15.....155-2
3X1 = 154-26
7X5 = 154-15

Going short is not allowed.

Note: Lockhart is about to speak at 12:30pm EST....known for talking about rate hikes...bad for ZB.
Leaving...come back, maybe on Friday.
Trade Well

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Last edited by javajoe; September 23rd, 2015 at 12:39 PM.
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  #207 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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made the tgt area

hi

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  #208 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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possible paths for monday

hello and have a great w/end

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  #209 (permalink)
Zb Trader
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and the result is in

hello
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  #210 (permalink)
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Great call


That was a great call. I follow your daily analysis and appreciate you taking the time to post it.

Thanks

Ned

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