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zb daily
Started:October 7th, 2011 (02:28 PM) by tbondtrader Views / Replies:32,510 / 382
Last Reply:November 30th, 2016 (12:27 PM) Attachments:283

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zb daily

Old June 18th, 2015, 01:28 PM   #131 (permalink)
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ZB

First chance to trade this week . The pivot points are really key today . Missed a trade at 7:38 but got on board at 8:12 for 4 ticks before 8:30 news . Good trade at 8:36 but didn't take it , was happy with my 4 ticks . Have a great day

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Old June 18th, 2015, 03:49 PM   #132 (permalink)
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updated 60 min

no reports tomorrow.....will the zb make a new weekly low? time will tell....probability is high that it can happen...

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Old June 18th, 2015, 04:19 PM   #133 (permalink)
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ZB


The 151.26 is a key resistance area just below a daily longer term 23% fib line for a retracement which may or not happen. As for me , I like the movement , up or down , in one direction sure makes it nice . As you look at a 1 hr. chart for the past week it has been a roller coaster , and yet some decent trends to trade short term .

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Old June 19th, 2015, 02:28 AM   #134 (permalink)
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heclara View Post
First chance to trade this week . The pivot points are really key today . Missed a trade at 7:38 but got on board at 8:12 for 4 ticks before 8:30 news . Good trade at 8:36 but didn't take it , was happy with my 4 ticks . Have a great day

Cool, hard to forecast Europe folding to Greece. Positive is always good.

Had some trojan/adware in my computer. Spent the whole day working on it. Finally got it wiped out.
Tomorrow is a new day.

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Old June 19th, 2015, 10:45 PM   #135 (permalink)
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javajoe View Post
ZBU15: This week is FED week.
IMF wants USA to hold off on any rate hikes until Jan 2016.
Will Janet do it? I think so, this White House Admin is very pro-Europe and famous for kicking the can down the road.
Greece is falling apart by the day. If US were to raise rates 50 basis points, the ripple effect would be huge.

Monday,Tuesday should be boring, waiting for Fed and Beginning of FOMC.
Wed 2pm EST verdict from Janet, then news conference 2:30pm EST.
I'm planning on a bullish trend for Thursday and Friday.


Not too bad of a forecast.
Thursday was unforeseen.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-18/yet-another-greek-deal-rumor-sends-stocks-euro-bond-yields-soaring

I was expecting bullish moves, but not like Friday's move.

ZBU15 | Commodity Futures Price Chart for T-Bond September 2015

Sunday we shall see, does EU fold, extend, Russia bailout????


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Old June 20th, 2015, 06:47 AM   #136 (permalink)
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Hey Javajo

Hi Javajo,

I think it continues to move up. Between China, Greece, and our own slowing economy.

I don,t thing the FOMC will do anything before the market has a huge correction or an all out crash.

This economy is just not going to happen. Not until major spending reforms. The FED also needs a new mandate.

As a forecast I will keep on the buy side until w re test the the latest high or break the low set in May 2015.

Ray

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Old June 20th, 2015, 06:56 AM   #137 (permalink)
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Javajo and Thursdays action

Its possible that the action down on Thursday was a way of getting out of positions made for a interest rate hike.

Now I believe that those positions are closed and those areas wont be seen again anytime soon. A lot of buying occurred just where a lot of selling occurred 151'00 a couple of days earlier. Unusual action for a single price point. I'm talking in the thousands.

If you can trade options ( I also have TOS) short the FXI China ETF...lots of roomto go. That for another thread though...

Ray

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Old June 20th, 2015, 11:21 AM   #138 (permalink)
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ZB

I know some don't agree but what is happening right now is why I like scalping , I can almost always find 1 or 2 good trades with bonds per day , on small time frames , it doesn't matter up or down . I'm not trying to make a killing , just 3 to 5 ticks per day , a runner once in awhile is nice too . I find trading bonds very enjoyable . I'm not good enough to trade multiple markets, so I stick with the one that fits me best . Have a great week end

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Old June 20th, 2015, 12:56 PM   #139 (permalink)
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ZB trading

I too have moved over to trading the ZB the last few months. It moves well, sometimes nearly 2 points per day, and I don't get shaken out so much like I did with the ES..it's easier for me to get out of trades for b/e or 1-2 tick losses. I think its just a preference of how I like to trade. The ZB typically moves a little slower and its easier for me to see buyers or sellers getting caught on the wrong side. I also watch the Bund for a frame of reference and confluence, though they don't always trade exactly the same, they often move together. Hope we can get some more bond traders to provide their input Good luck trading out there.

-Rami

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Old June 20th, 2015, 03:05 PM   #140 (permalink)
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zb 144 t


@sman wellcome to the zbarrow world lol

against this trading action all shorts went woop..................

enjoy the w/end

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