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I'm not sure what that means in terms of interest rate hike expectations. But if interest rates get hiked by 0.25%, the bonds would go to 155 (~3.5% down from today's closing price):
So is there any reason to be long bonds now?
I know there's an arbitrage between the euro bonds and US bonds due to difference in the interest rates, but I"m not sure how much of a force that is playing in bond prices. Are institutions willing to hold on to US bonds just to get any yield?
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