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How to become a successful futures trader
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How to become a successful futures trader

  #21 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Batavia NY
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Kubuntu, python
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers, Quandl
Favorite Futures: stocks, futures, currency
 
justrandom's Avatar
 
Posts: 31 since Nov 2015
Thanks: 7 given, 16 received

I love this interview with Mike Novogratz from 2010, he had 2 billion under management.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3JGpu_grsHk

He blew out his fund last month:
Brazil walloped Fortress fund, forced out Novogratz: WSJ

He is a wildly successful futures trader but that is the way the story goes.

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  #22 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Coldstream, UK
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES
 
Posts: 2 since Aug 2015
Thanks: 1 given, 0 received

I can highly recommend Al Brooks' video trading course. $250 for a whole 48 hours and hundreds of slides, with a massive update coming early 2016. Get it and get studying! Learn to read the price action bar by bar and you will begin to understand what is happening on the chart in front of you.

Re. win %, as Big Mike pointed out it's about more than that, it's also about reward/risk.

Scalpers go for a R/R roughly equal to 1, and try and keep their win % high i.e. >60%. (very difficult)

Swing traders go for a R/R >= 2 and try and achieve a win % of 50% or more.

The second one seems to be the best, if you think about it if you risk 10 ticks to make 20 every time, you only need to win 40% of the time to become profitable....

I asked Hoag from TST this before and he said, most of their successful traders are using a R/R of 2-3 or more. He also has stated on numerous occasions that, if you can have a R/R of 2 and win just half of the time, you stand to make a lot of money!

Happy hunting!

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  #23 (permalink)
Elite Member
Houston Texas
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: TradeStation, ThinkorSwim
Favorite Futures: emini ES
 
Posts: 11 since Dec 2015
Thanks: 0 given, 4 received

futures trading


Not successful with futures yet by any means, but:

Many trend following systems have 35% wins and make money. ie, big wins on huge trend break-outs pay for the much more common failed break-out attempts.

Helpful for me was to get a tradestation account and run through some back-testing of strategies just to get an idea.

You can add lots of filters to increase your win %. Eventually you get very few trades but they do win. Can you scale this enough to actually trade for a living. Probably not, simulations assume you get filled with whatever size you like which does not happen in real life.

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