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The question of an edge

  #14 (permalink)

Market Wizard
Birmingham UK
Trading Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: TST/Rithmic
Favorite Futures: YM/Gold
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Posts: 3,650 since Dec 2012
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With the benefit of Two Pints of Old Peculier I am actually 100% sure that the positive mathematical expectancy for a strategy lasts no longer than the market conditions in which that strategy performs successfully do.

A good friend who used to work for me became CTO of a large risk metrics outfit employing c50 Phd's. He confessed that the biggest problem he had was that they actually believed in what they did. Sometimes reality needs common sense to see past the numbers, as well as debunk the beliefs.


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