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Probability platform

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That would be very easy to do in Morningstar's Commodity Excel Addin (Link) or Commodity Query (Link) but unfortunately it's not cheap software.

Query would look something like

SHOW
0: Close of SYMBOL
1: Close of SYMBOL 1 value later
2: Close of SYMBOL 2 value later
3: Close of SYMBOL 3 value later
4: Close of SYMBOL 4 value later
When
(Close of SYMBOL / Close of SYMBOL 2 values ago) > 1.05

You'd have to set up your own histogram in Excel though.

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