(French) Mostafa Belkhayate’s Alembex method (martingale) | Trading Reviews and Vendors
futures.io - futures trading strategies, market news, trading charts and platforms
Trading Reviews and Vendors
Discuss and review vendors of commercial trading products, trading rooms and services, trading indicators or third-party paid add-ons
View full article: (French) Mostafa Belkhayate’s Alembex method (martingale)
(French) Mostafa Belkhayate’s Alembex method (martingale)
October 14th, 2014, 11:25 PM
#
5
(
permalink
)
Cachevary
Banned: trolling
Russia,Khabarovsk
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: NT
Favorite Futures: Gold
Posts: 407 since Feb 2014
Thanks: 138 given, 78 received
Nicolas11
He asserts that the probability of
not
having 2 consecutive winners in a sequence of 12 trades is negligible, so the trader is “guaranteed” to finish the sequence with a gain of +1.
This is false.
First, the probability of not having 2 consecutive winners in a sequence of 12 trades is far from negligible. The probabilities shown in the videos are simply wrong (by the way, some are > 100%!). Actually,
according to my calculation
,
the probability of
having
2 consecutive winners in a sequence of 12 trades is 94%
(in coin toss situation).
Nicolas
Cachevary
View Public Profile
Ignore Cachevary
Find More Posts by Cachevary
Find Threads Started by Cachevary
Find Downloads Uploaded by Cachevary
Find Attachments Posted by Cachevary
Page generated 2019-04-20 in
0.06
seconds with
11
queries on phoenix